From January to November 2025, China’s fertilizer imports and exports showed a clear pattern of rising export volumes and prices alongside a slight decline in imports. Toward year-end (mid-December), the market centered on three main themes: policy-driven price stability and supply assurance for phosphate fertilizers, supply–demand tug-of-war in the potash market, and policy regulation of upstream raw materials. Phosphate rock, sulfur, and sulfuric acid exhibited divergent tr

China’s Annual Contract Anchors Global Pricing While Supply–Demand Dynamics Shape the Market In November 2025, China finalized its 2026 annual potash import contract—an event that quickly became the central anchor for global potash pricing. The agreement not only halted the price slide in several emerging markets but also ignited China’s winter fertilizer stocking season. At the same time, rising sulfur and sulfuric acid prices pushed production costs sharply higher, placing

In the fourth quarter of 2025, the global fertilizer industry is marked by distinct trends of “strategic upgrading, rising demand, and active trade.” The United States has, for the first time, included phosphate rock and potash in its Critical Minerals List, underscoring the national-security importance of fertilizer resources. Nutrien, the world’s largest fertilizer producer, forecasts continued growth in global potash demand in 2026, prompting adjustments in industry planni

I. Overview of China’s Fertilizer Import and Export (January–October 2025) (1) Exports: Significant Growth in Both Volume and Value From January to October 2025, China exported a total of 38.42 million tons of bulk fertilizers, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.3%. The total export value reached USD 11.55 billion, up 64.56% from the previous year. In October alone, exports remained exceptionally strong: 5.057 million tons, up 71.1% year-on-year, with an export value

This week, China and overseas fertilizer markets continued the pattern of “cost support vs. weakening demand,” driven by the interplay of...

Urea Market In November, the overall international urea market was downward. With the weakening liquidity of international sources, the...